INSA poll of 8 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%+1.5
- SPD15.5%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+0.5
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke8.5%±0
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 12.4
- SPD -1.1average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 29.8
- FDP +0.8average 9.2
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- Linke -0.2average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne124
- SPD102
- AfD92
- FDP66
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.