INSA poll of 26 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,012
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+1.0
- Grüne17.5%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- AfD13.5%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,012 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 16.9
- AfD +0.9average 12.6
- Grüne -0.7average 18.2
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 30.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- Grüne116
- SPD103
- AfD89
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.