INSA poll of 18 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,030
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-1.0
- Grüne17.5%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD14.5%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Mar 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,030 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 13.0
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.5
- SPD -0.8average 16.8
- Grüne -0.5average 18.0
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne115
- SPD106
- AfD96
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.