Single poll
INSA poll of 3 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2019 to 1 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 4,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 4,000 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2019 to 1 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Feb 2019, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 18.1
- FDP +1.6average 8.4
- AfD +1.5average 13.0
- Linke +1.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- SPD -0.1average 17.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD111
- Grüne102
- AfD95
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 26 Feb 2019INSA, 11 Mar 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.