INSA poll of 26 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 2,048
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-0.5
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%+0.5
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Feb 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,048 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Feb 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Feb 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.9average 18.4
- SPD +1.4average 16.6
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.5
- FDP +1.0average 8.5
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- SPD119
- Grüne102
- AfD92
- FDP63
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.