INSA poll of 11 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-0.5
- Grüne18.5%±0
- SPD15.5%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.5%±0
- FDP8.5%±0
- Others3.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Feb 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Feb 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Feb 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 8.6
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.5
- AfD +0.6average 13.4
- FDP -0.6average 9.1
- Grüne -0.1average 18.6
- SPD +0.1average 15.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- Grüne121
- SPD101
- AfD91
- Linke69
- FDP55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.