INSA poll of 28 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 2,056
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.5
- SPD15.0%+1.5
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,056 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jan 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2019, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.1average 8.9
- Grüne -0.9average 18.9
- AfD +0.4average 13.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne118
- SPD98
- AfD92
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.