Single poll
INSA poll of 4 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 3 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,026
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,026 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Jan 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Dec 2018, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.6average 8.4
- Grüne -1.2average 19.2
- Linke +1.1average 8.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne118
- SPD98
- AfD92
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 22 Dec 2018INSA, 8 Jan 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.