INSA poll of 22 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,019
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,019 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Dec 2018, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- Grüne -0.7average 19.7
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- AfD99
- SPD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.