Single poll
INSA poll of 18 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 2,077
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,077 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Dec 2018, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Dec 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- FDP +0.9average 8.6
- Linke +0.6average 8.9
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 29.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne118
- SPD99
- AfD99
- FDP62
- Linke62
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD316 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 10 Dec 2018INSA, 22 Dec 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.