INSA poll of 27 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,062
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+0.5
- SPD14.0%-0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Nov 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,062 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Nov 2018, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 20.1
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- AfD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke +0.8average 9.2
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.0
- FDP -0.4average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne126
- AfD106
- SPD93
- Linke66
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.