Single poll
INSA poll of 20 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,047
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,047 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Nov 2018, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Nov 2018, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.0
- AfD +0.9average 14.6
- Linke +0.7average 9.3
- SPD -0.6average 15.1
- FDP +0.5average 9.0
- Grüne -0.2average 20.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- Grüne133
- AfD103
- SPD96
- Linke66
- FDP63
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 12 Nov 2018INSA, 27 Nov 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.