Single poll
INSA poll of 12 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,070
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,070 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Nov 2018, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 15.0
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 26.7
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- Linke +0.7average 9.3
- FDP -0.4average 9.4
- Grüne +0.3average 19.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- Grüne133
- AfD109
- SPD93
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 Nov 2018INSA, 20 Nov 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.