INSA poll of 23 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,061
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke10.5%±0
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Others3.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 17.2
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- AfD +0.8average 16.2
- Linke +0.6average 9.9
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne124
- AfD111
- SPD98
- Linke68
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.