INSA poll of 9 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,054
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD18.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%-0.5
- FDP10.0%±0
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Oct 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Oct 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- AfD +1.4average 16.6
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- Grüne -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- AfD118
- SPD105
- Grüne98
- Linke72
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.