Single poll
INSA poll of 1 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2018 to 1 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,041
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 18.5%. 2,041 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2018 to 1 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- AfD +1.8average 16.7
- Linke +1.3average 10.2
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- Grüne -0.7average 15.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- AfD121
- SPD104
- Grüne95
- Linke75
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 24 Sep 2018INSA, 9 Oct 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.