INSA poll of 24 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- AfD18.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne14.5%±0
- Linke11.5%+0.5
- FDP10.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Sep 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 29.2
- AfD +2.2average 15.8
- SPD -1.9average 17.9
- Linke +1.9average 9.6
- FDP +1.4average 8.6
- Grüne +0.2average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU175
- AfD117
- SPD104
- Grüne94
- Linke75
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.