INSA poll of 21 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.5%-1.0
- AfD17.5%±0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- Grüne14.5%+1.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 17.5%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 29.4
- SPD -1.5average 18.0
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Linke +1.4average 9.6
- Grüne +0.2average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD114
- SPD107
- Grüne94
- Linke71
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.