INSA poll of 17 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,054
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- AfD17.5%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- Linke10.5%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 17.5%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.3average 15.2
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 29.5
- Linke +0.9average 9.6
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD116
- SPD112
- Grüne86
- Linke69
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.