INSA poll of 11 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,042
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- AfD17.5%+0.5
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.5%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Others4.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 17.5%. 2,042 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Sep 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 29.8
- AfD +1.8average 15.7
- Linke +0.9average 9.6
- SPD -0.6average 17.6
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- Grüne -0.3average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD116
- SPD112
- Grüne89
- Linke69
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.