INSA poll of 3 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Aug 2018 to 3 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,069
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- AfD17.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%±0
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- FDP9.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2018 to 3 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 17.8
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.9
- AfD +1.1average 15.9
- FDP +0.9average 8.6
- Linke +0.8average 9.2
- Grüne -0.4average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD113
- SPD107
- Grüne90
- Linke67
- FDP63
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.