INSA poll of 28 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,079
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD16.5%±0
- AfD16.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.5%±0
- Linke10.5%-1.5
- FDP10.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 16.5%. 2,079 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Aug 2018, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 30.1
- FDP +1.4average 8.6
- SPD -1.3average 17.8
- Linke +0.9average 9.6
- AfD +0.8average 15.7
- Grüne -0.3average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- SPD109
- AfD109
- Grüne90
- Linke70
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.