INSA poll of 21 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 3,129
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD16.5%-1.0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.5%+1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%+0.5
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 16.5%. 3,129 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Linke 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 30.3
- Linke +2.3average 9.7
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- SPD -1.3average 17.8
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.4average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD108
- AfD105
- Grüne88
- Linke79
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.