INSA poll of 14 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,034
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD17.5%+0.5
- AfD17.0%±0
- Grüne12.5%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.5%+1.0
- Others3.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,034 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 9.5
- Grüne -1.4average 13.9
- AfD +1.3average 15.7
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 30.1
- FDP +0.8average 8.7
- SPD -0.4average 17.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- SPD114
- AfD111
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD414 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.