INSA poll of 7 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,098
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.5%+0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,098 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 15.6
- Linke +1.3average 9.7
- Grüne -1.0average 13.5
- SPD -0.9average 17.9
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- FDP ±0average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD112
- AfD111
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.