Single poll
INSA poll of 31 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,074
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,074 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jul 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 30.4
- Grüne -0.8average 12.8
- Linke +0.7average 9.8
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD118
- AfD115
- Grüne79
- Linke69
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD423 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 24 Jul 2018INSA, 7 Aug 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.