INSA poll of 24 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,056
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD17.5%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jul 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,056 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jul 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- Grüne -0.7average 12.7
- Linke +0.5average 10.0
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD118
- AfD115
- Grüne79
- Linke69
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD423 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.