Single poll
INSA poll of 3 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2018 to 2 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,089
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,089 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2018 to 2 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jun 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 31.6
- AfD +1.7average 14.8
- SPD +1.0average 18.0
- Linke +1.0average 10.0
- Grüne -0.3average 12.3
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- SPD124
- AfD108
- Grüne78
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD421 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 26 Jun 2018INSA, 9 Jul 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.