INSA poll of 26 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 2,036
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD19.5%+0.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 2,036 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2018, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.2 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.2average 32.2
- SPD +1.5average 18.0
- AfD +1.3average 14.7
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- SPD129
- AfD105
- Grüne73
- Linke73
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.