INSA poll of 19 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- SPD19.0%+2.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.4 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.4average 32.4
- AfD +1.8average 14.2
- Linke +1.8average 10.2
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- SPD +1.2average 17.8
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD126
- AfD106
- Linke80
- Grüne73
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.