INSA poll of 12 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 2,038
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Linke12.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,038 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 33.2
- AfD +2.2average 13.8
- Linke +1.7average 10.3
- SPD -1.0average 18.0
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD113
- AfD106
- Linke80
- Grüne73
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.