Single poll
INSA poll of 4 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 2,067
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,067 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 May 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 33.4
- Linke +1.3average 10.2
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- SPD -0.7average 17.7
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU211
- SPD112
- AfD105
- Linke76
- Grüne73
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 29 May 2018INSA, 12 Jun 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.