INSA poll of 29 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,062
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-0.5
- SPD17.0%+0.5
- AfD15.5%±0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.5%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,062 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2018, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points higher and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.0average 10.0
- AfD +1.7average 13.8
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- SPD -0.8average 17.8
- Grüne -0.8average 12.3
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD112
- AfD102
- Linke79
- Grüne75
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.