INSA poll of 22 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,044
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%±0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- AfD15.5%±0
- Grüne11.5%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 May 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 16.5%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 May 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 13.8
- SPD -1.6average 18.1
- Linke +1.1average 9.9
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 32.9
- Grüne -0.3average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD109
- AfD103
- Grüne76
- Linke73
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.