INSA poll of 1 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 2,097
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.5
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD15.5%±0
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%±0
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Others3.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Apr 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,097 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 13.7
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.9
- Linke +0.2average 10.3
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD111
- AfD101
- Grüne75
- Linke69
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.