INSA poll of 24 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 2,091
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%±0
- SPD18.0%-0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%+0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Others3.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,091 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 13.8
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 32.7
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- Linke +0.2average 10.3
- FDP +0.2average 9.3
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- SPD117
- AfD101
- Grüne78
- Linke68
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.