INSA poll of 17 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 2,054
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%±0
- SPD18.5%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne11.5%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others3.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 18.5%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.9
- AfD +1.3average 13.7
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- SPD +0.4average 18.1
- Grüne -0.2average 11.7
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD121
- AfD98
- Grüne75
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.