INSA poll of 10 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 2,048
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%-0.5
- SPD17.5%-0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- Linke12.0%±0
- Grüne11.5%+1.5
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Apr 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,048 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Apr 2018, Grüne gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 13.7
- Linke +1.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.6
- SPD -0.9average 18.4
- Grüne +0.2average 11.3
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- SPD114
- AfD101
- Linke78
- Grüne75
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.