INSA poll of 3 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 31 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,074
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-0.5
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%-0.5
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,074 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.7average 10.3
- Grüne -1.6average 11.6
- AfD +1.5average 13.5
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 33.0
- FDP +0.8average 9.2
- SPD -0.2average 18.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD117
- AfD97
- Linke78
- FDP65
- Grüne65
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.