INSA poll of 26 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%+0.5
- SPD17.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 13.5
- SPD -1.4average 18.4
- Linke +1.4average 10.6
- Grüne -1.2average 11.7
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 32.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU211
- SPD111
- AfD97
- Linke78
- Grüne68
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.