INSA poll of 20 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,066
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD17.5%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- FDP10.0%+0.5
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,066 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.9 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 10.1
- Grüne -1.5average 12.0
- AfD +1.4average 13.6
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- SPD -0.6average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD114
- AfD97
- Linke78
- Grüne68
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.