INSA poll of 8 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,065
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%-0.5
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD15.5%±0
- Grüne11.5%±0
- Linke10.5%±0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 May 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,065 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 May 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 13.9
- SPD -1.3average 18.3
- FDP -0.6average 9.1
- Grüne -0.2average 11.7
- Linke +0.2average 10.3
- CDU/CSU ±0average 32.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD112
- AfD102
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.