INSA poll of 26 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,063
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%+0.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD15.5%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others3.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,063 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2018, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.3 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 17.8
- AfD +2.2average 13.8
- Linke +2.1average 9.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 33.2
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU211
- AfD104
- SPD101
- Grüne78
- Linke78
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP347 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.