INSA poll of 5 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,052
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Feb 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 5 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Feb 2018, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points lower and Linke 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.5average 17.5
- Linke +1.9average 10.1
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD97
- AfD97
- Grüne78
- Linke78
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP358 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.