INSA poll of 19 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+2.5
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- SPD15.5%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-0.5
- FDP9.0%-1.5
- Others3.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.5 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.7 points lower and AfD 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.7average 18.2
- AfD +2.6average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- Linke +1.0average 10.0
- Grüne +0.8average 12.2
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU209
- AfD104
- SPD101
- Grüne85
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD414 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.