INSA poll of 12 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,608
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.5%-1.0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- Linke11.5%+0.5
- FDP10.5%+0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Feb 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 16.5%. 2,608 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 32.5
- SPD -2.5average 19.0
- AfD +1.6average 13.4
- Linke +1.6average 9.9
- FDP +1.5average 9.0
- Grüne +1.3average 11.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD108
- AfD98
- Grüne85
- Linke76
- FDP69
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.