INSA poll of 5 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,034
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.5%-3.0
- SPD17.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.5%+1.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Jan 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,034 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 19.3
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 32.6
- AfD +1.4average 13.6
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- Grüne +1.0average 11.5
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD112
- AfD98
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.