INSA poll of 29 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 2,073
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.5%+2.0
- SPD17.5%-0.5
- AfD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.5%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,073 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 19.5
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- Linke +1.1average 9.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 33.1
- Grüne -0.1average 11.1
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD115
- AfD92
- Grüne72
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.