INSA poll of 23 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,169
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%±0
- SPD18.0%-0.5
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-0.5
- FDP10.0%+0.5
- Grüne10.0%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jan 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,169 people were surveyed from 22 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jan 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 20.0
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.9
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- Linke +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne -1.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD120
- AfD93
- Linke73
- FDP67
- Grüne67
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.