INSA poll of 8 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 2,028
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%-1.0
- SPD19.5%±0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%±0
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 2,028 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.7 points higher and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.7average 9.3
- AfD +1.5average 12.0
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 32.8
- SPD -1.3average 20.8
- Grüne -1.3average 11.3
- FDP +0.6average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD129
- AfD89
- Linke72
- FDP66
- Grüne66
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.